Niels Mcdonald vs Matteo Vavassori Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Niels Mcdonald has a slight edge in second serve point wins with 45.81%, compared to Matteo Vavassori’s 43.18%. How does this affect their match prospects? It suggests Mcdonald might have a better chance of holding serve.
• For returning opponent second serves, Mcdonald edges Vavassori slightly, with a winning percentage of 49.47% compared to 48.78%. Could this give Mcdonald an advantage? Yes, as it indicates greater potential to break Vavassori's serve.
• Conversely, Vavassori shows stronger performance on first serve returns at 39.68%, while Mcdonald trails significantly with 29.68%.
• In pressure situations, such as breakpoints, Mcdonald slightly outperforms Vavassori, with Mcdonald saving 47.76% and Vavassori saving 46.67% of breakpoints.
• Looking at overall performance, Mcdonald has a better match win rate over the last year at 44.44%, while Vavassori has won only 26.67% of his matches.
• Both players share a similar best surface performance on Clay, each with a 44% win rate. However, neither has fared well on their worst surfaces, with Mcdonald having 0% on Indoor Hard and Vavassori having 0% on Hard.
• When evaluating tournament participation, Mcdonald has a 50% win rate in $10K ITF tournaments, outperforming Vavassori’s 28.57% in the same tier.
• Mcdonald faces stronger competition, with an average opponent rank of 236.11 as opposed to Vavassori’s 296.07.
• If the match enters a deciding set, Vavassori has a superior track record, winning 33% of such sets compared to Mcdonald's 25%.
• When predicting outcomes, current event form can be revealing, so examining their current event performance is advisable if they have played prior matches in this tournament.

Editorial Prediction (October 6, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Niels Mcdonald and Matteo Vavassori presents an interesting dynamic. Mcdonald appears to hold several advantages, with a superior second serve performance and a slightly better rate of breaking opponents' second serves.

While Vavassori has shown stronger resilience in first serve returns and deciding sets, Mcdonald's overall yearly win rate and his experience against higher-ranked competition give him an edge.

However, Vavassori's fortitude when matches reach critical points cannot be dismissed. Still, taking into account Mcdonald's consistent performance metrics and superior competition faced, he is more likely to emerge as the winner in this encounter.